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World economy can withstand $100 oil price-Kuwait

Arab oil exporters say market is well supplied; Do not expect OPEC to raise output in 2011; Oil ministers blame cold snap for latest price surge.

December 26, 2010 1:57 by



The global economy can withstand an oil price of $100 a barrel, Kuwait’s oil minister said on Saturday, as other exporters indicated OPEC may decide against increasing output through 2011 as the market was well supplied.

Analysts have said oil producing countries are likely to raise output after crude rallied more than 30 percent from a low in May because they fear prices could damage economic growth in fuel importing countries.

European benchmark ICE Brent crude for February closed at $93.46 on Friday after hitting $94.74 a barrel, its highest level since Oct. 2008.

Arab oil exporters meeting in Cairo this weekend said they saw no need to supply more crude as stocks were high and prices had been inflated temporarily by cold weather in Europe.

Asked by Reuters if the world economy could stand a $100 oil price, Kuwaiti Oil Minister Sheikh Ahmad al-Abdullah al-Sabah said: “Yes it can”.

Iraq’s new oil minister and the head of Libya’s National Oil Corporation both told Reuters that $100 was a fair price, while Qatar’s Minister Abdullah al-Attiyah said he did not expect OPEC to increase production in 2011.

“I do not expect an OPEC meeting before June because oil prices are stable,” he said.

Some delegates even called for exporters to comply better with agreed production limits. OPEC members’ compliance with promised cutbacks reached 56 percent in November, according to Reuters estimates.

When asked if output could be raised, Kuwait’s Sheikh Ahmad said: “No. More compliance, more compliance”.

MARKET “WELL SUPPLIED”
The Cairo meeting of the Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries (OAPEC) brought together Arab members of OPEC including top exporter Saudi Arabia, which has traditionally been viewed as a price moderate, as well as non-OPEC countries Tunisia, Egypt, Syria and Bahrain.

OPEC cut output drastically after the global financial crisis struck in 2008 to prop up collapsing oil prices.

As demand has risen steeply in 2010 and is expected to rise further in 2011, the market is watching closely whether OPEC can release at least some of its spare capacity to prevent prices from soaring to around $150 per barrel as they did before the crisis struck in summer 2008.

OPEC’s most influential oil minister, Saudi Arabia’s Ali al-Naimi, said on Friday he was still happy with an oil price of $70-80 a barrel and there was no need for an extra OPEC meeting before the next scheduled one in June.

Others in the group have been pressing for a higher price, arguing that quantitive easing and a weakened U.S. dollar that spurred gains across financial markets mean the oil price strength is partly nominal.

Egyptian Oil Minister Sameh Fahmy said the current increase in oil prices was the result of higher demand on heating fuel because of the cold weather in Europe.

United Arab Emirates Oil Minister Mohammed al-Hamli said crude oil inventories are “quite high. It’s the highest over the five years average… The market is well supplied”.

(Reporting by Sherine El Madany, Shaimaa Fayed, Amena Bakr, Ashraf Fahim and Yasmine Saleh; Writing by Tom Pfeiffer; Editing by Mike Nesbit)



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